Launch Decisions of Paragliding Pilots: Rational or Intuitive Decisions?

  1. Meindl, Konstanze
  2. Department of Social Sciences
  3. March 2019
  4. English
  5. 126 pages
  6. Grossenbrunner, Peter
  7. Paragliding | Decision Making | Dual-Process Theory | Pilots | Heuristics | Biases
  8. Psychology
  9. Original: Unic - Rules: RDA
    • The dual-process theory specifies two types of decision-making process: rational and intuitive. The intuitive decision-making process is based on heuristics, which lead to quick and often unconscious decisions. In this paper I investigate whether decisions made by paragliding pilots during launch are reached rationally or intuitively. The preliminary study was conducted as a structured interview with 34 paragliding pilots holding an Austrian, German, or Swiss licence. According to the pilots, they use the following for launch decisions: the availability heuristic, the majority heuristic, the sunk-cost fallacy, outcome bias, ability bias, framing, anchoring, the representativeness heuristic, the recognition heuristic, and confirmation bias. A total of 323 paragliding pilots took part in the main study, which is a questionnaire-based survey. I used structural-equation modeling to test whether the availability heuristic, the sunk-cost fallacy, the majority heuristic, risk-taking, and sensation-seeking predict the launch decision. This prediction was confirmed for the availability heuristic and the majority heuristic. I performed moderator analyses for the structural-equation model using multigroup analysis for age, type of licence, and number of flights in the previous year. One significant moderator effect was found: The availability heuristic predicts the launch decision for pilots who had few flights in the previous year but not for pilots who had a large number of flights in the previous year.

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