Launch Decisions of Paragliding Pilots: Rational or Intuitive Decisions?

  1. Meindl, Konstanze
  2. School of Humanities and Social Sciences
  3. Department of Social Sciences
  4. Μάρτιος 2019
  5. English
  6. 126 pages
  7. Grossenbrunner, Peter
  8. Paragliding | Decision-making | Dual-process theory | Pilots | Heuristics | Biases
  9. Psychology
  10. Original: Unic - Rules: RDA
    • The dual-process theory specifies two types of decision-making process: rational and intuitive. The intuitive decision-making process is based on heuristics, which lead to quick and often unconscious decisions. In this paper I investigate whether decisions made by paragliding pilots during launch are reached rationally or intuitively. The preliminary study was conducted as a structured interview with 34 paragliding pilots holding an Austrian, German, or Swiss licence. According to the pilots, they use the following for launch decisions: the availability heuristic, the majority heuristic, the sunk-cost fallacy, outcome bias, ability bias, framing, anchoring, the representativeness heuristic, the recognition heuristic, and confirmation bias. A total of 323 paragliding pilots took part in the main study, which is a questionnaire-based survey. I used structural-equation modeling to test whether the availability heuristic, the sunk-cost fallacy, the majority heuristic, risk-taking, and sensation-seeking predict the launch decision. This prediction was confirmed for the availability heuristic and the majority heuristic. I performed moderator analyses for the structural-equation model using multigroup analysis for age, type of licence, and number of flights in the previous year. One significant moderator effect was found: The availability heuristic predicts the launch decision for pilots who had few flights in the previous year but not for pilots who had a large number of flights in the previous year.

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